Only hours remain until UFC Houston begins and DraftKings UFC contests close. To help you with your last-minute lineup build, here are some DraftKings quick picks.
This quick pick write-up will feature two value plays, one sleeper play, and one fade play.
Curtis Blaydes ($8,900)
Curtis Blaydes is my favorite pick for this event and I think anything less than $9K is a value for him in his matchup against Adam Milstead.
Milstead is a small heavyweight and could probably make the light heavyweight limit if he tried. He’s been wrestling since age 2 so he has some ground game but he’s going to be giving up about 35 pounds against Blaydes to go along with four inches in reach. Blaydes will have a size advantage and that is one reason why I’ll have him in my lineup.
Oddsmakers have Milstead as the underdog at +270 which is another reason why Blaydes has my pick. But the reason why I really like Blaydes is because he’s tough as nails. He lost his last fight to Francis Ngannou but the ref had to call the fight. Blaydes wasn’t going to stop and Ngannou was struggling to finish him.
This kid has the talent, the size, and I don’t think Milstead is special enough to stop the “Razor”.
Dennis Bermudez ($8,400)I’ll take Dennis Bermudez at $8,400 against Chan Sung Jung, who hasn’t fought in three years, all day long. Bermudez is on the cuffs of breaking into the the top five of the featherweight division. A win over the Korean Zombie won’t propel him into contender status, but it will be nice win to add to his resume.
Here are 8 other reasons why Bermudez is a great DraftKings UFC value play for UFC Houston.
- #1 in takedowns landed in featherweight division (38)
- #1 in takedown defense in featherweight division (91.4%)
- #3 in total strikes landed in featherweight division (933)
- #3 in total significant strikes landed in featherweight division (573)
- #4 in submission attempts in featherweight division (12)
- #5 in knockdowns landed in featherweight division (5)
- #5 in strikes landed per minute in featherweight division (4.27)
- #5 in takedowns accuracy in featherweight division (45.2%)
Ricardo Ramos ($7,600)Ricardo Ramos is a Brazilian prospect and Brazilian champion in jiu-jitsu. Six of his nine wins are first round finishes that include three wins in under a minute.
Michinori Tanaka is a Judo blackbelt with an 11-2 record, boasting five submission wins and six decision wins. His grinding style makes him tough to finish so I’m picking Ramos to take a decision. Oddsmakers also have this one tight, with Ramos sittin at +125. He’s the younger fighter of the two but has a notable size advantage.
I like Ramos’s chances of a decision win. For $7.6K, I think he makes for a great sleeper to add to your lineup. I don’t think he’ll have a large ownership percentage since he’s not too well known and is making his UFC debut.
Alexa Grasso ($9,100)Alexa Grasso is the next face for the women’s strawweight division if she can continue winning inside the Octagon. She has the look and she has some skills. And the UFC is starving for stars at the moment. So why does that matter in this matchup?
Felice Herrig is another face that UFC can get behind and push due to her ability to market herself and fight inside the cage. The difference between these two fighters is experience. Herrig is a long-time veteran of the sport, having made her debut back in 2009. She’s gritty, her ground game is strong, and I think we saw a different fighter last time out when she submitted Kailin Curran in under two minutes.
Grasso is a heavy favorite in this fight. Oddsmakers have her pegged at -310, which is tied for third on the card for highest odds. I think her ownership percentage will be high and I don’t think she will finish Herrig. In fact, I actually think Herrig has a great chance at making this an ugly fight and taking home a split decision.
For that reason, I’m passing on Grasso and I’d suggest you do too.